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Showing posts with label FED. Show all posts
Showing posts with label FED. Show all posts

Sunday, August 18, 2013

PLATINUM WEALTH PARTNERS - #APPLE #FACEBOOK #BUFFET #TORONTO

PLATINUM WEALTH PARTNERS:
Week Ended, August 18, 2013


DR. PETER G. KINESA'S
INTERNATIONAL INSIGHTS
"PLATINUM WEALTH PARTNERS"



VISIT OUR WEBSITE
PLATINUM WEALTH PARTNERS
www.pwa2100.blogspot.com




ellison0812


Many months# ago we actually concluded that without Steve Jobs the company would not be able to repeat or meet the achievements or expectations of its founder. There is an artistic-creative element in people of Steve's character that cannot be replicated by professionally trained managers from Ivy-league business schools. 

Moreover, entrepreneurial vision and drive is a talent few ever configure in a similar way. 

So whether its Ford, Buffet, Carnegie, Gates, Stronich or Jobs, their unique compositions are rare and the companies they build and run are never the same once they move on.

Keeping Apple on the watch list, but our vision for the future remains short-sighted.

INVESTORS' INSIGHTS
First Financial Insights
August 16, 2013







One primary rule of investing - when the Company's top executives start dumping their shares, it's time to head for the hills. We are not going to set out all the reasons why and all the excuses executives use to justify their dispositions. Nope, instead we are going to ask you to look at the fellow captioned above and ask "what if this guy started dumping shares in that small town company from Omaha?" 

Never happened, and if it did - you know that the flood waters are really coming. 

It all boils down to how do you believe in folks that do not believe in themselves? Just plain-old folksy small-town stuff. There is however-  one City-slicker - Jimmy Rogers, who thinks that Facebook is not an investment, its a waste of time. We agreed with him then, and still do. 

This also may explain why Facebook users are so depressed - they finally figured out Jim's astute observation.

Stockholders may soon join its users, as t is still just a click away from ten or less, on the Ticker. 

INVESTORS' INSIGHTS
First Financial Insights
August 14, 2013 

WISE GUY
" Facebook is not an investment, it's a waste of time" 




Now if you think that I have any thing further to say here or want to challenge these two guys on their stock wisdom,  you do not know me yet. Let's face (sic) it, if Facebook is our leading technology company, then we are in a heap of trouble. Seems like some of their top executives think the same way too. Imagine if the President said, "but, after this - I am leaving America"

There is something in good-ole small-town wisdom that appeals to me. Right Zeke?

PLATINUM WEALTH PARTNERS
Dr. Peter G Kinesa
August 14, 2013

Sure Zeke, l'll BFF you????


TORONTO CONDO bubble CRASHING – WHAT NEXT? - READ MORE   2008 Meltdown or Japanese Bubble... (read more)

When will they ever learn? Or is it simply in the nature of our species to always create these gigantic credit-driven asset bubbles? And why is it a social phenomenon that no country, culture or region is immune to through-out history? 

From a investment view, we are seriously perturbed about Toronto's Condo Bubble and the possible outcomes that could occur when the bubble further deflates. As a result, we have placed a number of sectors on our watch list; obviously including  retail, financial, property development and construction industries. In the weeks ahead, we will provide further.comments and analysis regarding the much anticipated fall-out with more specific industry assessments.  

Remember also how globalization was sold to us as the best way to improve national economic well-being, standards of living, create jobs and lower risk levels. Now everything is so deeply inter-connected financially, physically and politically, yet these promised improvements seem to be moving us in the opposite direction. Do you think it was all a big lie serving a few special global interests? Do you think that they pulled the wool over the eyes of our political geniuses?  If you do - then you are not alone!

It begs the question - who is really governing sovereign nations given all the operative trade agreements, and organizations, such as the WTO, EU, IMF, World Bank and others, with relegated powers? Have all these supra-constitutional connections watered-down sovereign constitutions so much that national destinies have been moved beyond elected officials' powers? This may explain why Canada patterned its monetary policies after the FED - they have to!

This is a big issue that requires a good deal more analysis and thought, but there are clear hints that "globalization" was just a crafty synonym disguising "annexation". What does that have to do with the price of Condo's in Toronto?

Lots! Just ask its Mayor.   
  

INVESTORS' INSIGHTS
First Financial Insights

August 12, 2013


Asset Bubbles 101: 

In the end, remember nothing is...

  

What everyone should come to understand in the age of globalized economies is that no country, region or city is completely immune from the trends and events that occur around the planet. More so in the years ahead when shrinking raw material supplies and food stocks cause more unrest and political strife.In all likelihood making the originating shortages worse and causing spikes in CPI and accordingly the borrowing costs set by markets. 

Therefore, cities like Toronto may experience seemingly immune short-term booms, but the hardships of marginal countries ripple back, sooner or later . And as more and more countries are affected by climate change, resource shortages, social and political tensions, booms may actually become just pages in economic history books.Why? Because abstract economic theory's positive-sum-game is moving rapidly towards a head-on collision with existential economic theory's negative-sum-game. Somehow, reality has a way of defeating the wild speculations of old-age stories, as physics and mathematics are absolutely concrete in construction.

Having that in mind, we should be concerned that as the population-resources-depletion formula worsens we do not blindly fall into the "exponential economic trap". Illustrated by the simple idea.that when an element doubles with every unit measure of time, then at one minute to 12 its glass is half full -  fooling one to think a lot more time remains. What happens next is clear, but perhaps not so clear if the concept is ignored or misapplied. The exponential function in itself sets hard non-negotiable constraints on all asset bubbles, and also total physical economic outputs. We must remember not to forget the implications of this function and its real, but invisible existential constraints.

If we do, the clock says there won't be much, if any, time to fix the situation. This function is plainly ruthless.

PLATINUM WEALTH PARTNERS
Dr. Peter G Kinesa
August 13, 2013

Sunday, August 4, 2013

PLATINUM WEALTH PARTNERS - Peter #Kinesa #JimRogers #EricSprott #FDIC

PLATINUM WEALTH PARTNERS:
Week Ended, August 4, 2013


DR. PETER G. KINESA'S
INTERNATIONAL INSIGHTS
"PLATINUM WEALTH PARTNERS"


 
VISIT OUR WEBSITE
PLATINUM WEALTH PARTNERS

 
 
(Read More)


Hmm ... Emerging Pattern?

Despite how others are interpreting the latest figures, reported by the FDIC - we do not share their same enthusiasm. In fact, we have grave concerns, as the pattern appears to mimic the one experienced during the credit humbling days of the Great Depression. Here are some numbers to consider.

In Q2 2009, nine months after the meltdown, only 4.7% of the 8,195 insured banks were classified as problems. By the second quarter of 2012, the percentage rose to 13.3% of 7,513 insured creditors - at the same time, over 600 banks had vanished for a host of reasons. Today, we are looking at a figure of 10.3%, on a total report of 7,018 insured banks. Now these percentages do look somewhat comparable, in shape, to the 1930-32 period graph for bank failures, prior to the big collapse of 1933. Spooky.

Add to this numerical and graphic analysis, the fact that we have seen an extended period of monetary and quantitative easing, that has not seen benefits flow down to the Main Street banks. Disturbing! These banks are indeed no where near the numbers reported just nine months after the great 2008 meltdown - 4.7% to 10.3%. Meaning the problems have not been fixed to any great extent by policy measures, so far.

But could there be another 1933 in a year or two? The odds are good that a further market and credit meltdown is in the cards. First, because policy has had very little impact on the credit system's organic health; and secondly, a rise in interest rates would deflate financial and property assets, and thereby wipe out much of the equity in an already problematic and highly levered system. Thirdly, let's not forget that the global economy is fragile and exposed to contract widely with minor tremors.

These numbers and analysis are forewarning, so it would be wise for policy-makers to have the toxic-asset bail-out (disaster) plans in place well before events transpire, breaking the bank machine. But, should we ever expect them to Think ahead? Perhaps as 2008 indicates, the idea is just too novel.

Investors should also take note that another credit crunch is, not only terrible for markets, but also the domestic economy, as the banking system that is even numerically weaker than it was back in 2009, cannot quickly act to stabilise both activity and valuation contractions. Meaning that the breach in valuations could also be much greater than the September 2008 meltdown losses, as market liquidity is also more susceptible to rapid tightening with weaker banks.

To close, analyse and draw your own conclusions, but we cannot help having this sinking feeling inside - there is something in the Autumn Air.


PLATINUM WEALTH PARTNERS
First Financial Insights
August 2, 2013


When the bank machines are broken, expect...






One big point in all this is that we simply do not have the diagnostic measures to advise us when the economy, markets and banks are headed for big troubles. This case is somewhat different in that the mathematics of financial valuations is just lurking out there, ready to pounce asset values downwards. It also makes sense from a physical economic view to see values decline, as we exponentially use the planet's resources, while printing buckets of money. No matter what markets, economics and governments cannot win the fight against physics and mathematics - it is hence only a matter of time.

Dr. Peter G Kinesa
August 2, 2013


We are right behind Jim on this issue and recommend reminding yourself often and keeping an eye the ball, not getting caught when the trap collapses.
INVESTORS' INSIGHTS

This is beginning to sound like a chorus line with a song that sings about the coming collapse of almost every kind of asset value. We recently commented in The New York Times that values could collapse by as much as 50% should long rates rise by 2% or more. Readers got mad at us, but it's not our fault, because we did not invent financial mathematics - someone else did! Nor we do believe that these rules are open to negotiation, legislation or persuasion of any kind. They are absolute.

So how did we ever get backed into this corner? Well. you can blame the usual suspects, who lost sight of common sense and were "influenced by the political immediacy of their times." Now there is no where to run or hide.

PLATINUM WEALTH PARTNERS
First Financial Insights
August 1, 2013


Remember these guys - Unusual Suspects?




Anyone of these guys alive when Japan hit the skids and got stuck in a low interest rate trap that is almost impossible to exit? That's pretty basic financial mathematics, so no wonder their eyes glaze over when I talk about eternity, physical constraints and the exponential function. THEY THINK I"M NUTS!

I truly wonder some times...

Dr Peter G Kinesa
August 1, 2013



"I think it’s just been one big scheme to try to get people dissuaded from owning gold and to cause supply to come out. As you mentione...


So do want to buy our new book - with over 1 million pre-sold copies? The title is "The Secret to How to Make a Lot of Money Real Quick"; - write a book like this.

Sarcasm notwithstanding, Eric is basically a promoter and should disclose his personal, corporate and managed positions, so it is clear where he is coming from and fair to everyone who listens to his pitch. As well, to make this relevant for serious investors - sources, numbers and opposing views should be brought forward for objective analysis. We strongly believe, moreover, that if this was such a great investment, folks like Buffet, Bogle, Gates, Goldman and many others, would all be quietly chasing this huge home run. There is little evidence suggesting they are swinging at the plate.

In the meantime, we will continue to support the belief that gold is a psychotic placebo, that has lost substantial real purchasing power over the past 33 years, as well as being the one of the worst asset classes over that time. Making it just a speculative relic used by barbarian traders that holds none of the attributes true investors desire - like expected or defined returns.

Bottom line, we are not putting much faith in the rhetoric of gold promoters like Faber, Sprott and Rogers. For as Charlie Munger would say, "if its too good to be true, it usually is "

PLATINUM WEALTH PARTNERS
First Financial Insights
July 31, 2013

Our Message..
These wise guys are not "Gold bugs" for a reason -


On our side, my colleauges include Gates, Buffet, Keynes, Kinesa, and Roubini. There team consists of Faber, Sprott, Rogers, Schiff and Glenn Beck. Place your bets accordingly.

Dr Peter G Kinesa
July 31, 2013




ECONOMIC GRAPH OF THE DAY: UK Wildlife Index Decline (1968 -2010) To the point, forget about all the graphs, ch...

You may think that Peter's comments are absurd, outlandish or just plain funny from an investment, finance and economic point of view. We, on the other hand, view such measures and observations quite seriously. So much so, that in the end we believe that one his upcoming books "Bugonomics - The Silent GDP of Bugs" will far out pace Freakonomics as a best seller.

Bugs by their nature are existentialists, just as Pete's Economic Doctrine plants itself in this philosophic foundation. For when man is gone, what happens to Bugs? Or is the question worded backwards? Hmm.

Read the book...

PLATINUM WEALTH PARTNERS
First Financial Insights
July 30, 2013

BUGONOMICS - The Silent GDP of Bugs

The loss of bugs may actually lead to wars long before we run out of oil and other raw materials. For without them, that should pretty much wrap things up for some time.

OK so remember you heard it here first, but evidence warns that we are now past "PEAK BUGS" - funny in a dark way, but so very true.

Dr Peter G Kinesa
July 30, 2013



 

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