The #Methane Time #Bomb Now An #Emergency

 Why The Climate Emergency is now The Methane Emergency

by Paul Gilding

Even rapidly accelerating the end of fossil fuel burning will not slow warming in a timeframe relevant to this threat. If we don’t change our approach there is a reasonable likelihood the climate will go through tipping points that will then self-accelerate and we will have lost control. The road to economic collapse and global chaos is then quite a short one. - P Gilding

 

              “Ignore Gilding at your peril” -  Thomas Friedman - NYT 

 

https://countercurrents.org/2021/08/why-the-climate-emergency-is-now-the-methane-emergency/

Whereas CO2 drives warming slowly over a century, methane drives warming quickly – in around a decade. During this time, it is very potent. While methane is often reported as having 28 times more warming impact than CO2, this is when the two are compared over 100 years. That timeframe is now irrelevant given the challenge we face – which is to reducing warming in a decade.  Over 10 years, methane is in the order of 90-115 times more dangerous than CO2.  It is the nuclear weapon of climate change – a weapon of mass destruction.

 

 

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The Methane Time Bomb

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COVID-19 Vaccines Don’t Really Work as Hoped

 Last week, the CDC announced a surprising finding: “Delta infection resulted in similarly high SARS-CoV-2 viral loads in vaccinated and unvaccinated people.” Public officials had known from the early days of vaccine development that vaccinated people could catch COVID-19, but the assumption had been made that they were not going to be spreaders of COVID-19.

It turns out that the delta variant is sufficiently different from the original Wuhan version of the virus that the vaccines work much less well. The CDC performed an analysis of COVID-19 cases arising from one public gathering in Massachusetts. They found that the gathering led to 469 COVID-19 delta cases among Massachusetts residents, with 74% of these cases in fully vaccinated attendees. Massachusetts is a highly vaccinated state, with approximately 64% of the population fully vaccinated.

There are other issues coming up as well. How long does the vaccine really last? Is the vaccine itself part of the reason that the virus is mutating as rapidly as it is? Are we making problems for ourselves by creating an army of people with very light cases of COVID-19 who can spread the virus to both the vaccinated and the unvaccinated without realizing that they have more than a cold? Aren’t we inadvertently killing off the least able of the virus mutations and allowing the most virulent to multiply?

Posted on August 5,  2021 by Gail Tverberg

My training is as an actuary, so I am familiar with modeling. I am also a “systems thinker.” I know that it is important to look at longer-term impacts as well as short-term impacts. If a person works in the healthcare field, it is easy to consider only the obvious short-term benefits. It takes some analysis to figure out that today’s vaccines may lead to stronger variants (such as delta) and the more overall spread of COVID-19.

In this post, I will explain some of the issues involved.

[1] Today’s vaccines provide only a fraction of the true level of protection required. Their actions are in many ways similar to applying weed killer at half the strength needed to kill the weeds or providing antibiotics at half the dose required to stop the spread of bacteria.

All of our lives, we have been told, “Be sure to complete the full course of the antibiotics. It is necessary to kill all of the bacteria. Otherwise, it will be easier for a few of the stronger bacteria not to be affected. If you stop too early, the bacteria that are least affected by the antibiotic will survive and reproduce, while the others will die. Stopping the drug too soon is a great way to achieve antibiotic resistance, quickly.”

Unfortunately, COVID-19 vaccine makers seem to have overlooked this issue. The respected BMJ published an editorial entitled, Will covid-19 vaccines save lives? Current trials aren’t designed to tell us. It makes the point:

Peter Hotez, dean of the National School of Tropical Medicine at Baylor College of Medicine in Houston, said, “Ideally, you want an antiviral vaccine to do two things . . . first, reduce the likelihood you will get severely ill and go to the hospital, and two, prevent infection and therefore interrupt disease transmission.”

Yet the current phase III trials are not actually set up to prove either.

We were told that the new COVID-19 vaccines are “95% effective in preventing symptomatic disease,” but it turns out that this is far less adequate than what most people would assume. The vaccine is “leaky.” A big issue is that the virus mutates, and the vaccine works much less well against the mutations. The world can never reach herd immunity if immunized people keep catching new variants of COVID-19 and keep passing them on, as the evidence now suggests.

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About Gail Tverberg

My name is Gail Tverberg. I am an actuary interested in finite world issues - oil depletion, natural gas depletion, water shortages, and climate change. Oil limits look very different from what most expect, with high prices leading to recession, and low prices leading to financial problems for oil producers and for oil exporting countries. We are really dealing with a physics problem that affects many parts of the economy at once, including wages and the financial system. I try to look at the overall problem.

Side Effects

They Say A #Picture Is Worth A #Thousand Words

 

                                 I AGREE 

WHY?

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  • Be sure to wash your hands and all will be well 

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  •  Another Picture Worth A Thousand Words. 

    
    
    
  • August 5, 2021
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  • The question is why do we overpopulate? Because it is evidenced to be innate in biological entities to comply with the universal laws of entropy and consume more energy to survive and procreate for another day. It is an endless battle - as chaos drives the pursuit to grow, acquire, and use more energy to return the systems to a temporary equilibrium. Only to start the cycle once again. 
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  • We observe this phenomenon in the smallest of cell constructs to the largest of vertebrate creatures (remember the mice utopia experiment) - ultimately they outgrow their respective habitats and go extinct. I have seen no evidence anywhere in the universe that any biological construct has dispensation from the laws and cycle of entropy and thus its consequential guaranteed final outcome - EXTINCTION
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  • In the end, all biological constructs are imprisoned in a Devil's Bargain that cannot be breached or voided to avoid its slings and arrows of outrageous misfortune.

  
  

                 T A McNeil

         CEO Founder

         First Financial Insights Inc 

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There Are Exponential Limits to Growth We Cannot Defeat.

WATCH

The Final Warning